Posts

Showing posts from December 9, 2012

NARENDRA MODI SET TO RETURN TO POWER WITH A HAT-TRICK

MODI SET TO RETURN TO POWER WITH A HAT-TRICK.. Predicting electoral outcomes in India is almost an impossible science that involves a lot of occult mysteries like imagined caste-vote tilts and representative sample sizes that try to judge voter perceptions regarding government’s performance etc etc. For a nation of 1.2 billion people with a million castes/religions/languages/ethnic groups, even after 65 years of independence, we are totally clueless about the percentage of population of different subgroups. To add to this huge gap in our databases is the total opaqueness of the Election Commission of India which has never released polling booth level voting numbers for wider public scrutiny. Polling booth level voting data is released to the political parties and contesting candidates by the election commission and it is a herculean task to get access to that data. It was on this back drop that we conducted a survey of the voter perception of Gujarat and assessed the performa...