What are the lessons for BJP post Karnataka election?
What are the lessons for BJP post Karnataka election?
- Despite having a credible face for Congress at the state level - Siddaramaiah, when the issue becomes RaGa Vs. NaMo, the former still stands no chance
- Despite a CM candidate with numerous issues - Yeddyurappa, Modi-Shah can still deliver.
- The Congress is so desperate to hold on to power that it’s willing to play second fiddle to regional leaders
- It’s not always easy to form a post-poll coalition
How can BJP pull back against the Uniting Opposition in 2019 election which is barely 9 months away?
By allowing them to attempt and see it crash and burn in front of their eyes. Simply put an anti-Modi alliance is easier said than done. While Mamata may have held hands with the CPM in the Karnataka swearing in ceremony, she won’t enter a pre-poll coalition with them in WB or Tripura in 2019.
Same holds for SP and BSP in UP, SS and NCP and so on. These parties have intense cadre level rivalries at the local level which will make victory very hard even if the leaders swallow their egos.
In addition if the BJP is to be sent packing, the only way it can happen for the Congress is to get more seats than them ( like in 2004 ). Very slim chance of that happening.
The best thing to happen for Amit Shah in 2019 would be for the disparate elements in the opposition to try and attempt pre-poll alliances in 2019. That would make it easy for the BJP to poach dissatisfied leaders by the dozen.
Plus the more the noise they make against Modi, the more crystallized his support base would become. If it crosses 33% in just half the country, the BJP can get a free ride back to power.
Overall, the BJP should just remain on point, let Modi campaign and Shah work behind the scenes and let the opposition crash and burn.
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